Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

 

 

Month 5

Month 7

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Commissioning & Communities

570

425

(145)

Home to school pupil number increase in September has been less than anticipated.

Education & Learning

370

168

(202)

Use of one-off Public Health Funding.

Family Help & Protection

1,311

972

(339)

Use of one-off Public Health Funding and success of FRP measures.

Public Health

0

0

0

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(320)

(120)

200

See above

Total Families, Children & Wellbeing

1,931

1,445

(486)

 

Adult Social Care

4,293

4,004

(289)

Utilised various grant funding for Adult Social Care

Integrated Commissioning

42

158

116

Unfunded rent and management charges at Wellington Road.

Housing People Services

6,135

5,238

(897)

Due to efficiencies and additional funding received from MHCLG.

Homes & Investment

(10)

(9)

1

 Minor movement.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(3,029)

(1,159)

1,870

Financial Recovery measures updated and savings achieved are reflected above

Total Homes & Adult Social Care

7,431

8,232

801

 

City Infrastructure

(2,014)

(2,271)

(257)

Minor improvements in parking income forecast. Improvements from review of the work and costs related to repairs to the City's network of £0.203m offset by s278 pressures of £0.180m. Improvements in Road Works Permit and Traffic Management incomes of £0.166m.

Environment & Culture

287

(77)

(364)

Improved income forecasts for the Brighton Centre of £0.042m. Improvements in Bereavement fees of £0.084m and improvements in staffing forecast of £0.97m reflecting net vacancies and recruitments. £0.131m improvement in City Parks from forecast surplus Preston Parks parking income released plus revised staffing forecasts. £0.095m improvement in Sport & Leisure from further Leisure management incomes. Offset by £0.080m movement in Seafront Services from revised forecasts for Hove Beach Park where year 1 incomes do not fully cover revenue expenditure of £0.048m due to rent free periods and additional responsive repairs required for seafront of £0.032m.

Environmental Services

411

549

138

£0.264m improvement in forecast for use of Agency Staff for service delivery as the service continues to stabilise. £0.160m additional costs due to late billing required for night security costs for the ongoing threat to the depot. £0.060m additional temporary staffing costs for temporary additional capacity to reduce vehicle defects for which staff have converted to permanent contracts within the establishment. £0.050m pressure from unachievable income target of selling fleet services to external customers. £0.050m reduction in forecast enforcement incomes due to fewer people choosing to pay enforcement fines and insufficient service and legal capacity to chase large non-payers.

Place

198

726

528

Adverse movement relates to costs associated with legal claims offset in part improved income and forecast staffing costs for the year.

Digital Innovation

(525)

(570)

(45)

Minor improvements due to a staffing forecast review.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(150)

(150)

0

 

Total City Operations

(1,793)

(1,793)

0

 

Cabinet Office

(169)

(227)

(58)

Review of expenditure at Month 7 resulting in adjustment of forecast. Underspend mainly driven by staffing savings and underspends in subscriptions to organisations.

Corporate Leadership Office

84

37

(47)

Improvement following a further review of operations and staffing forecast at Month 7

Finance & Property

3,372

1,248

(2,124)

Movement mainly from presentation change, with further recovery plans now included in individual services as well as an improvement in savings and income in Building and Surveyors portfolio.

Governance & Law

(429)

(294)

135

Change mainly the result of a change in presentation. One off litigation income from Truck Cartel that was previously reported here is now reported under Finance. 

People & Innovation

(72)

(444)

(372)

Combination of forecast income generation and improvement in staffing savings as a result of holding vacancies in services in the directorate.

Contribution to Orbis

67

68

1

Minor movement

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(1,500)

0

1,500

Further Recovery Plans now reported in individual services from which they are expected to be achieved.

Total Central Hub

1,353

388

(965)

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

195

195

0

 

Capital Financing Costs

(2,215)

(3,260)

(1,045)

A combination of the Capital Programme Review reducing the in-year borrowing need and an increase in anticipated investment returns due to improved cash flow forecasts.

Levies & Precepts

0

0

0

 

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

0

0

0

 

Unringfenced Grants

0

0

0

 

Housing Benefit Subsidy

915

915

0

 

Other Corporate Items

1,589

1,654

65

£0.071m pressure as Public health contribution to General Fund services now reflected in FCW forecasts. Partially offset by £0.006m improvement in national Insurance saving relating to AVC contributions.

Total Centrally-held Budgets

484

(496)

(980)

 

Total General Fund

9,406

7,776

(1,630)